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Why Stock Markets Crash : Critical Events in Complex Financial Systems / Didier Sornette.

By: Contributor(s): Material type: TextTextSeries: Princeton Science Library ; 78Publisher: Princeton, NJ : Princeton University Press, [2017]Copyright date: ©2017Description: 1 online resource (448 p.) : 10 halftones. 155 line illus. 21 tablesContent type:
Media type:
Carrier type:
ISBN:
  • 9780691175959
  • 9781400885091
Subject(s): DDC classification:
  • 332.63222 23
LOC classification:
  • HB3722 .S66 2017
  • HB3722 .S66 2018
Other classification:
  • online - DeGruyter
Online resources: Available additional physical forms:
  • Issued also in print.
Contents:
Frontmatter -- Contents -- Preface to the Princeton Science Library Edition -- Preface to the 2002 Edition -- Chapter 1. Financial Crashes: What, How, Why, and When? -- Chapter 2. Fundamentals of Financial Markets -- Chapter 3. Financial Crashes Are "Outliers" -- Chapter 4. Positive Feedbacks -- Chapter 5. Modeling Financial Bubbles and Market Crashes -- Chapter 6. Hierarchies, Complex Fractal Dimensions, and Log-Periodicity -- Chapter 7. Autopsy of Major Crashes: Universal Exponents and Log-Periodicity -- Chapter 8. Bubbles, Crises, and Crashes in Emergent Markets -- Chapter 9. Prediction of Bubbles, Crashes, and Antibubbles -- Chapter 10. 2050: The End of the Growth Era? -- References -- Index
Summary: The scientific study of complex systems has transformed a wide range of disciplines in recent years, enabling researchers in both the natural and social sciences to model and predict phenomena as diverse as earthquakes, global warming, demographic patterns, financial crises, and the failure of materials. In this book, Didier Sornette boldly applies his varied experience in these areas to propose a simple, powerful, and general theory of how, why, and when stock markets crash. Most attempts to explain market failures seek to pinpoint triggering mechanisms that occur hours, days, or weeks before the collapse. Sornette proposes a radically different view: the underlying cause can be sought months and even years before the abrupt, catastrophic event in the build-up of cooperative speculation, which often translates into an accelerating rise of the market price, otherwise known as a "bubble." Anchoring his sophisticated, step-by-step analysis in leading-edge physical and statistical modeling techniques, he unearths remarkable insights and some predictions--among them, that the "end of the growth era" will occur around 2050. Sornette probes major historical precedents, from the decades-long "tulip mania" in the Netherlands that wilted suddenly in 1637 to the South Sea Bubble that ended with the first huge market crash in England in 1720, to the Great Crash of October 1929 and Black Monday in 1987, to cite just a few. He concludes that most explanations other than cooperative self-organization fail to account for the subtle bubbles by which the markets lay the groundwork for catastrophe. Any investor or investment professional who seeks a genuine understanding of looming financial disasters should read this book. Physicists, geologists, biologists, economists, and others will welcome Why Stock Markets Crash as a highly original "scientific tale," as Sornette aptly puts it, of the exciting and sometimes fearsome--but no longer quite so unfathomable--world of stock markets.
Holdings
Item type Current library Call number URL Status Notes Barcode
eBook eBook Biblioteca "Angelicum" Pont. Univ. S.Tommaso d'Aquino Nuvola online online - DeGruyter (Browse shelf(Opens below)) Online access Not for loan (Accesso limitato) Accesso per gli utenti autorizzati / Access for authorized users (dgr)9781400885091

Frontmatter -- Contents -- Preface to the Princeton Science Library Edition -- Preface to the 2002 Edition -- Chapter 1. Financial Crashes: What, How, Why, and When? -- Chapter 2. Fundamentals of Financial Markets -- Chapter 3. Financial Crashes Are "Outliers" -- Chapter 4. Positive Feedbacks -- Chapter 5. Modeling Financial Bubbles and Market Crashes -- Chapter 6. Hierarchies, Complex Fractal Dimensions, and Log-Periodicity -- Chapter 7. Autopsy of Major Crashes: Universal Exponents and Log-Periodicity -- Chapter 8. Bubbles, Crises, and Crashes in Emergent Markets -- Chapter 9. Prediction of Bubbles, Crashes, and Antibubbles -- Chapter 10. 2050: The End of the Growth Era? -- References -- Index

restricted access online access with authorization star

http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_16ec

The scientific study of complex systems has transformed a wide range of disciplines in recent years, enabling researchers in both the natural and social sciences to model and predict phenomena as diverse as earthquakes, global warming, demographic patterns, financial crises, and the failure of materials. In this book, Didier Sornette boldly applies his varied experience in these areas to propose a simple, powerful, and general theory of how, why, and when stock markets crash. Most attempts to explain market failures seek to pinpoint triggering mechanisms that occur hours, days, or weeks before the collapse. Sornette proposes a radically different view: the underlying cause can be sought months and even years before the abrupt, catastrophic event in the build-up of cooperative speculation, which often translates into an accelerating rise of the market price, otherwise known as a "bubble." Anchoring his sophisticated, step-by-step analysis in leading-edge physical and statistical modeling techniques, he unearths remarkable insights and some predictions--among them, that the "end of the growth era" will occur around 2050. Sornette probes major historical precedents, from the decades-long "tulip mania" in the Netherlands that wilted suddenly in 1637 to the South Sea Bubble that ended with the first huge market crash in England in 1720, to the Great Crash of October 1929 and Black Monday in 1987, to cite just a few. He concludes that most explanations other than cooperative self-organization fail to account for the subtle bubbles by which the markets lay the groundwork for catastrophe. Any investor or investment professional who seeks a genuine understanding of looming financial disasters should read this book. Physicists, geologists, biologists, economists, and others will welcome Why Stock Markets Crash as a highly original "scientific tale," as Sornette aptly puts it, of the exciting and sometimes fearsome--but no longer quite so unfathomable--world of stock markets.

Issued also in print.

Mode of access: Internet via World Wide Web.

In English.

Description based on online resource; title from PDF title page (publisher's Web site, viewed 30. Aug 2021)