TY - BOOK AU - Bartels,Larry M. TI - Presidential Primaries and the Dynamics of Public Choice SN - 9780691221908 AV - JK522 U1 - 324.27315 23 PY - 2020///] CY - Princeton, NJ : PB - Princeton University Press, KW - Presidents KW - United States KW - Nomination KW - Primaries KW - POLITICAL SCIENCE / History & Theory KW - bisacsh KW - Afghanistan KW - Bush, George KW - Gallup Poll KW - Glenn, John KW - Houston Chronicle KW - Iran hostage crisis KW - Janaskie, Paul KW - Johnston, Richard KW - Kemp, Jack KW - Kentucky Derby KW - Lichtenstein, Sarah KW - Ohio primary KW - Opus (penguin) KW - Smith, Carolyn KW - Solid South KW - Super Tuesday KW - Time magazine KW - Vietnam war KW - Watergate KW - ambiguity KW - approval voting KW - bandwagon KW - brokered convention KW - campaign effects KW - congressional caucuses KW - contagion KW - conventions KW - deathwatch coverage KW - defense spending KW - delegates KW - endogeneity of preferences KW - expectations KW - feeling thermometer KW - foreign policy KW - government services KW - horse race KW - information KW - labor unions KW - liberalism scores KW - media use KW - momentum KW - name recognition KW - national primary KW - negative momentum KW - nuclear power KW - paradox of voting KW - political activation KW - projection KW - reform KW - regional primaries KW - threshold model KW - unemployment N1 - Frontmatter --; CONTENTS --; List of Illustrations --; List of Tables --; Preface --; PART I. THE NOTION OF MOMENTUM --; PART II. THE NATURE OF MOMENTUM --; PART III. THE IMPACT OF MOMENTUM --; PART IV. THE IMPORT OF MOMENTUM --; APPENDIXES --; References --; Index; restricted access N2 - This innovative study blends sophisticated statistical analyses, campaign anecdotes, and penetrating political insight to produce a fascinating exploration of one of America's most controversial political institutions--the process by which our major parties nominate candidates for the presidency. Larry Bartels focuses on the nature and impact of "momentum" in the contemporary nominating system. He describes the complex interconnections among primary election results, expectations, and subsequent primary results that have made it possible for candidates like Jimmy Carter, George Bush, and Gary Hart to emerge from relative obscurity into political prominence in recent nominating campaigns. In the course of his analysis, he addresses questions central to any understanding--or evaluation--of the modern nominating process. How do fundamental political predispositions influence the behavior of primary voters? How quickly does the public learn about new candidates? Under what circumstances will primary success itself generate subsequent primary success? And what are the psychological processes underlying this dynamic tendency? Professor Bartels examines the likely consequences of some proposed alternatives to the current nominating process, including a regional primary system and a one-day national primary. Thus the work will be of interest to political activists, would-be reformers, and interested observers of the American political scene, as well as to students of public opinion, voting behavior, the news media, campaigns, and electoral institutions UR - https://doi.org/10.1515/9780691221908?locatt=mode:legacy UR - https://www.degruyter.com/isbn/9780691221908 UR - https://www.degruyter.com/document/cover/isbn/9780691221908/original ER -