TY - BOOK AU - Hendry,David F. AU - Nielsen,Bent TI - Econometric Modeling: A Likelihood Approach SN - 9781400845651 AV - HB141 U1 - 330.015195 PY - 2012///] CY - Princeton, NJ : PB - Princeton University Press, KW - Econometric models KW - Econometrics KW - BUSINESS & ECONOMICS / Econometrics KW - bisacsh KW - Accuracy and precision KW - Asymptotic distribution KW - Autocorrelation KW - Autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity KW - Autoregressive model KW - Bayesian statistics KW - Bayesian KW - Bernoulli distribution KW - Bias of an estimator KW - Calculation KW - Central limit theorem KW - Chow test KW - Cointegration KW - Conditional expectation KW - Conditional probability distribution KW - Confidence interval KW - Confidence region KW - Correlation and dependence KW - Correlogram KW - Count data KW - Cross-sectional data KW - Cross-sectional regression KW - Distribution function KW - Dummy variable (statistics) KW - Econometric model KW - Empirical distribution function KW - Equation KW - Error term KW - Estimation KW - Estimator KW - Exogeny KW - Exploratory data analysis KW - F-distribution KW - F-test KW - Fair coin KW - Forecast error KW - Forecasting KW - Granger causality KW - Heteroscedasticity KW - Inference KW - Instrumental variable KW - Joint probability distribution KW - Law of large numbers KW - Least absolute deviations KW - Least squares KW - Likelihood function KW - Likelihood-ratio test KW - Linear regression KW - Logistic regression KW - Lucas critique KW - Marginal distribution KW - Markov process KW - Mathematical optimization KW - Maximum likelihood estimation KW - Model selection KW - Monte Carlo method KW - Moving-average model KW - Multiple correlation KW - Multivariate normal distribution KW - Nonparametric regression KW - Normal distribution KW - Normality test KW - One-Tailed Test KW - Opportunity cost KW - Orthogonalization KW - P-value KW - Parameter KW - Partial correlation KW - Poisson regression KW - Probability KW - Probit model KW - Quantile KW - Quantity KW - Quasi-likelihood KW - Random variable KW - Regression analysis KW - Residual sum of squares KW - Round-off error KW - Seemingly unrelated regressions KW - Selection bias KW - Simple linear regression KW - Skewness KW - Standard deviation KW - Standard error KW - Stationary process KW - Statistic KW - Student's t-test KW - Sufficient statistic KW - Summary statistics KW - T-statistic KW - Test statistic KW - Time series KW - Type I and type II errors KW - Unit root test KW - Unit root KW - Utility KW - Variable (mathematics) KW - Variance KW - Vector autoregression KW - White test N1 - Frontmatter --; Contents --; Preface --; Data and software --; Chapter One. The Bernoulli model --; Chapter Two. Inference in the Bernoulli model --; Chapter Three. A first regression model --; Chapter Four. The logit model --; Chapter Five. The two-variable regression model --; Chapter Six. The matrix algebra of two-variable regression --; Chapter Seven. The multiple regression model --; Chapter Eight. The matrix algebra of multiple regression --; Chapter Nine. Mis-specification analysis in cross sections --; Chapter Ten. Strong exogeneity --; Chapter Eleven. Empirical models and modeling --; Chapter Twelve. Autoregressions and stationarity --; Chapter Thirteen. Mis-specification analysis in time series --; Chapter Fourteen. The vector autoregressive model --; Chapter Fifteen. Identification of structural models --; Chapter Sixteen. Non-stationary time series --; Chapter Seventeen. Cointegration --; Chapter Eighteen. Monte Carlo simulation experiments --; Chapter Nineteen. Automatic model selection --; Chapter Twenty. Structural breaks --; Chapter Twenty One. Forecasting --; Chapter Twenty Two. The way ahead --; References --; Author index --; Subject index; restricted access N2 - Econometric Modeling provides a new and stimulating introduction to econometrics, focusing on modeling. The key issue confronting empirical economics is to establish sustainable relationships that are both supported by data and interpretable from economic theory. The unified likelihood-based approach of this book gives students the required statistical foundations of estimation and inference, and leads to a thorough understanding of econometric techniques. David Hendry and Bent Nielsen introduce modeling for a range of situations, including binary data sets, multiple regression, and cointegrated systems. In each setting, a statistical model is constructed to explain the observed variation in the data, with estimation and inference based on the likelihood function. Substantive issues are always addressed, showing how both statistical and economic assumptions can be tested and empirical results interpreted. Important empirical problems such as structural breaks, forecasting, and model selection are covered, and Monte Carlo simulation is explained and applied. Econometric Modeling is a self-contained introduction for advanced undergraduate or graduate students. Throughout, data illustrate and motivate the approach, and are available for computer-based teaching. Technical issues from probability theory and statistical theory are introduced only as needed. Nevertheless, the approach is rigorous, emphasizing the coherent formulation, estimation, and evaluation of econometric models relevant for empirical research UR - https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400845651?locatt=mode:legacy UR - https://www.degruyter.com/isbn/9781400845651 UR - https://www.degruyter.com/document/cover/isbn/9781400845651/original ER -