TY - BOOK AU - Copeland,Dale C. TI - Economic Interdependence and War T2 - Princeton Studies in International History and Politics SN - 9780691161587 AV - HB195 U1 - 355.0273 23 PY - 2014///] CY - Princeton, NJ : PB - Princeton University Press, KW - Competition, International KW - Economic history KW - 1750-1918 KW - 1918- KW - Military history, Modern KW - Natural resources KW - Political aspects KW - War KW - Causes KW - Economic aspects KW - History KW - POLITICAL SCIENCE / International Relations / General KW - bisacsh KW - American oil embargo KW - China KW - Cold War KW - Europe KW - European great powers KW - Japanese economy KW - Japanese foreign policy KW - Manchuria KW - Nazism KW - Pacific War KW - Russo-Japanese War KW - Shidehara Kijuro KW - Sino-American relations KW - Taisho democracy KW - USЃhinese relations KW - USЊapanese relations KW - USГoviet relations KW - World War I KW - World War II KW - case study research KW - causal theories KW - colonial territory KW - commerce KW - commercial expectations KW - conflict KW - democratic peace KW - economic interdependence KW - economic peace KW - existing literature KW - existing scholarship KW - future probabilities KW - future trade KW - global politics KW - global war KW - great power politics KW - great power system KW - great powers KW - historical analysis KW - imperial expansion KW - interdependence KW - international political economy KW - international relations KW - interstate commerce KW - investment KW - large-N quantitative research KW - leader expectations KW - liberalism KW - modern conflict KW - nineteenth-century geopolitics KW - political control KW - preventive wars KW - quantitative analysis KW - rare events research KW - realism KW - third-party territories KW - trade expectations theory KW - trade expectations KW - trade KW - war N1 - Frontmatter --; Contents --; Preface --; Abbreviations for Primary Documents and Source Material --; INTRODUCTION --; CHAPTER ONE. Theory of Economic Interdependence and War --; CHAPTER TWO. Quantitative Analysis and Qualitative Case Study Research --; CHAPTER THREE. The Russo-Japanese War and the German Wars for Hegemony, 1890-1939 --; CHAPTER FOUR. The Prelude to Pearl Harbor: Japanese Security and the Northern Question, 1905-40 --; CHAPTER FIVE. The Russian Problem and the Onset of the Pacific War, March−December 1941 --; CHAPTER SIX. The Origins, Dynamics, and Termination of the Cold War, 1942-91 --; CHAPTER SEVEN. European Great Power Politics, 1790-1854 --; CHAPTER EIGHT. Great Power Politics in the Age of Imperial Expansion, 1856-99 --; CHAPTER NINE. Implications of the Argument --; Bibliography --; Index; restricted access; Issued also in print N2 - Does growing economic interdependence among great powers increase or decrease the chance of conflict and war? Liberals argue that the benefits of trade give states an incentive to stay peaceful. Realists contend that trade compels states to struggle for vital raw materials and markets. Moving beyond the stale liberal-realist debate, Economic Interdependence and War lays out a dynamic theory of expectations that shows under what specific conditions interstate commerce will reduce or heighten the risk of conflict between nations.Taking a broad look at cases spanning two centuries, from the Napoleonic and Crimean wars to the more recent Cold War crises, Dale Copeland demonstrates that when leaders have positive expectations of the future trade environment, they want to remain at peace in order to secure the economic benefits that enhance long-term power. When, however, these expectations turn negative, leaders are likely to fear a loss of access to raw materials and markets, giving them more incentive to initiate crises to protect their commercial interests. The theory of trade expectations holds important implications for the understanding of Sino-American relations since 1985 and for the direction these relations will likely take over the next two decades.Economic Interdependence and War offers sweeping new insights into historical and contemporary global politics and the actual nature of democratic versus economic peace UR - https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400852703?locatt=mode:legacy UR - https://www.degruyter.com/isbn/9781400852703 UR - https://www.degruyter.com/cover/covers/9781400852703.jpg ER -